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Achim’s Razor

Positioning, Messaging, and Branding for B2B tech companies. Keep it simple. Keep it real.

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Metrics

Buying Signals, Not Form Fills: Route on Patterns

Form fills and downloads are not intent. Here's how to define strong B2B buying signals and see patterns to lift win rate and forecast accuracy.
October 14, 2025
|
5 min read

Form fills and PDF downloads indicate curiosity, not intent. Treat forms as supporting evidence inside a broader pattern. Route on patterns for speed. Use causality to decide where to invest.

Takeaways

  • Form fills ≠ intent: completed forms may show interest, not intent to buy.
  • Strong signals: repeat pricing visits + security/integration docs + multiple stakeholders + return visits.
  • Measure impact: tag a signal of record; track win rate and forecast accuracy lift.
  • Causality > correlation: patterns detect; causal tests decide budget.

What some teams already know

GTM teams are coming to realize buyers don’t move in a straight line.

As decisions get real, more time can pass and more stakeholders can show up.

The part many still miss: a contact form fill or a gated PDF download doesn’t change any of that. It’s a weak signal until it’s part of a bigger picture.

Paula Skaper, over at 33 Dolphins, posted this LinkedIn comment on a recent article:

“Would love to see a follow up on buying signals. Something tells me ‘filling in a form to download a lead magnet’ is guaranteed to be on the list.”

She’s right.

An eBook gate, by itself, is weak. It proves someone traded an email for content. It does not prove buying intent.

Some forms can be strong: demo request, pricing/config quote, security questionnaire, RFP upload. They get stronger when surrounded by hotter activity in a short window.

Read signals as a story

Buyers don’t march left-to-right when we want them to.

They loop. They backtrack. They add and remove people. They rinse and repeat on their time, not ours.

Non-linear map showing curved paths among Case Studies, Pricing, ROI, Security/Integration, Demo, and Procurement/Legal, with stakeholder counts growing 1 to 2 to 4 to 7+ and a Trigger Zone around Pricing and Security.

Read the pattern across people, content, and time, not a sequence.

  • Compression: related activity bunches up inside 7–14 days (and often repeats later).
  • Escalation: things heat up (Case Studies/ROI > Pricing > Security/Integration > Procurement/Legal).
  • Expansion: more stakeholders from the same domain join in (as many as 11 or more when it's time to sign)
  • Loops matter: Procurement can bounce back to Security; Security can bounce back to Pricing; ROI can ping-pong with Pricing.

Our job is to spot momentum, not enforce a linear path.

Routing rule (make it binary):

  • IF two or more stakeholders from the same domain hit pricing at least twice in 7-14 days,
  • AND any one views security, integration, or implementation docs,
  • THEN alert the AE and set a four-hour follow-up SLA.

Everything else goes to nurture until the pattern appears.

“We need to stop tossing early interest over the fence. Marketers must own that signal until it’s contextualized, confirmed, and validated.”
 
Kerry Cunningham, 6sense

Buying intent checklist

Weak Moderate Strong
Single eBook or webinar reg Two to three related pages Repeated pricing views
One anonymous visit Return visit in seven days Security, integration, or implementation docs
Third-party “topic interest” with no matching first-party activity Two stakeholders from the same domain Net-new stakeholder joins
Inbound request (demo, security review, pricing/config, RFP)
All inside a compressed time window

Causality, briefly

Patterns are correlation. That’s fine for routing fast. When it’s time to fund programs, you need causal analysis.

Simple play:

  • Define the intervention: like a multi-threaded outreach play triggered by the strong-signal threshold.
  • Create contrast: stagger rollout by region or segment so you have a clean with/without comparison.
  • Measure lift: win rate, cycle time, ACV.
  • Decide: if lift is real, make it standard; if not, downgrade the signal or the play.
  • Experiment: try various what if scenarios that factor in externalities.

For more detail, check out the 6-Part Causal CMO series I did with Mark Stouse.

3-step ops plan

  1. Define: pick your “Strong 5” signals with Sales and CS. Write an SOP with thresholds. Get sign-off.
  2. Instrument: tag pricing, security, integration, ROI, and procurement pages first. Map each to roles.
  3. Route & review: trigger the SLA rule; tag a signal of record on every new opportunity; review lift quarterly.

Final Thoughts

If a signal doesn’t move win rate or forecast quality, downgrade it.

Keep the list short. Keep it honest.

Adopt the trigger for 30 days. Tag “Signal of Record” on every opp.

Share the lift.

If you like this content, here are some more ways I can help:

  • Follow me on LinkedIn for bite-sized tips and freebies throughout the week.
  • Work with me. Schedule a call to see if we’re a fit. No obligation. No pressure.
  • Subscribe for ongoing insights and strategies (enter your email below).

Cheers!

This article is AC-A and published on LinkedIn. Join the conversation!

Strategy

What HubSpot Got Wrong About Marketing’s “Predictable Past”

HubSpot claims marketing used to be predictable and linear. Here’s why it never was and why marketers and vendors alike need to rethink accountability.
October 7, 2025
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5 min read

Contrary to what martech tools like HubSpot say, marketing has never been predictable or linear. And it doesn’t drive revenue directly. It multiplies sales effectiveness, shortens the path to “yes,” and protects future growth. Here’s what every B2B tech leader should know.

Takeaways

  • Marketing was never linear. Buyer journeys have always been complex and unpredictable.
  • Marketing multiplies sales. It’s a revenue influencer, not a direct driver of ROI.
  • Performance alone fails. Real growth comes from long-term brand effects.
  • Marketers got complacent. We stopped asking hard questions and let martech lead.
  • Vendors must do better. HubSpot and others need more truth, less hype.

Where HubSpot Missed the Mark

Last week, HubSpot sent out this email:

Screenshot of HubSpot email stating ‘Marketing used to be predictable and linear. Not anymore.’ promoting AI marketing features.

The gist of it was to promote their new AI-powered features, as if AI will make marketing predictable like it once was.

“Marketing used to be predictable and linear. Not anymore.”

Really?

Um, Marketing was never predictable. Never linear. Not in B2B, not in B2C, not anywhere.

And framing it this way is exactly why companies waste time and money chasing shortcuts.

Why Isn’t B2B Marketing Linear?

For the past 15–20 years, B2B marketing has been hooked on “performance marketing” because of promises made by software companies (HubSpot is not mutually exclusive here).

Marketers were sold a bill of goods: predictable funnels, lead-to-revenue models, and real-time multi-touch attribution displayed on pretty dashboards.

Hey, I’m just as guilty. I drank the Kool-Aid too.

But the results? Nothing to be excited about.

Research and data analysis have proven the opposite:

  • Binet & Field: Most ROI doesn’t come from short-term demand gen. It comes from long-term brand effects that compound (like compound interest).
  • Byron Sharp: Growth comes from mental availability (being remembered at the moment of choice) not from squeezing more out of in-market buyers.
  • Kerry Cunningham: After buyers do their research, they shortlist early. And over 80% of the time, they stick with their first pick.

The idea that marketing once marched buyers in a straight line from awareness to deal? That's a fairy tale.

And the idea that AI will restore predictability? Wishful thinking.

Marketing Is a Revenue Influencer, Not a Driver

Here’s the real distinction every executive should know:

  • Sales drives revenue.
  • Marketing influences revenue.

Marketing creates the conditions for sales to succeed:

  • Shapes memory
  • Increases preference
  • Multiplies sales effectiveness
  • Shortens the path to “yes”

But it does not “drive” revenue on its own. Presenting it that way sets CMOs up against an impossible benchmark, one the CFO and board will never buy.

How Does Marketing Multiply Sales?

Dale W. Harrison explains this clearly in How Marketing Creates Revenue.

His model shows the incremental effects of sales, performance marketing, and brand marketing combined:

  • A sales team alone = 4:1 return.
  • Add performance marketing = 10:1 return.
  • Add brand marketing = 30:1 return, thanks to higher intent, shorter cycles, and stronger pricing power.

This proves that marketing is a non-linear multiplier of a linear function like sales. It produces zero direct revenue, but it radically amplifies sales.

PS: Dale’s The Mythology of Brand Growth is an insightful follow-up to Byron Sharp’s book, How Brands Grow (mentioned above). Definitely worth reading.

What About Time Lag and Delayed ROI?

Mark Stouse and I have discussed this many times.

He reinforces this reality with two important points:

  1. Time Lag: Marketing’s effects are delayed and compounding. Ignore lag and you’ll undervalue marketing’s contribution.
  2. The T-Shape: Sales provides the thrust, but marketing widens the base and multiplies the lift. Marketing doesn’t replace sales. It makes sales more effective.

This is CFO-friendly language: delayed, compounding effects that expand efficiency and probability.

Why Do Vendors Keep Selling the Funnel Myth?

The “predictable funnel” story keeps getting pushed for a number of reasons.

  • VCs and shareholders want predictable growth narratives to fuel valuations.
  • Vendors want you to believe their platform is the missing link between spend and revenue.
  • Founders find it easier to pitch “predictable growth” than to explain market complexity.
  • Marketers themselves stopped asking hard questions. Instead of challenging simplistic funnel models, we accepted whatever martech force-fed us. Over time, marketing shrank from owning all 4Ps to just 1P (Promotion).

This last point matters. When we stop questioning, we stop leading. And when we outsource our thinking to vendors, we reduce marketing to a support function instead of a growth function.

What Is the Real Role of Marketing in B2B?

The messy reality? It’s inherent in the system.

  • Buyers don’t move in neat stages.
  • Most revenue impact happens outside attribution windows.
  • Brand campaigns create long-term probability shifts, not instant wins.

But that’s okay! Because the real job of marketing is to:

  • Make sales more efficient.
  • Help sales close more deals at higher value.
  • Protect future revenue by being remembered when buyers come in-market.

This is how CEOs and CFOs should frame marketing internally: as a capital investment in future efficiency, not as a vending machine for leads.

What Should CEOs, CFOs, and CMOs Do Differently?

If you lead a B2B tech company, here are three shifts worth making:

1. Stop asking for linear attribution.

  • Funnels and lead counts don’t measure incremental growth.
  • Instead, measure how marketing improves sales efficiency, close rates, and pipeline velocity.

2. Treat marketing outcomes as probabilistic not deterministic.

  • Marketing increases the likelihood of revenue, not guarantees it.
  • Ask: What probability shift are we buying with this budget?

3. Listen to Peter Drucker: Reframe marketing as capital allocation, not cost.

  • Harrison’s model: $100K in marketing = $2M incremental revenue by making sales 3x more efficient.
  • That’s the same way you’d frame R&D: delayed returns, compounding effects, measurable risk.

And here’s another important point:

Marketing must raise the bar. We’ve grown complacent. Too often we accept whatever martech vendors tell us instead of doing the harder work of insight, strategy, positioning, and brand-building. Marketing can only reclaim its full power when we start asking tougher questions again.

Final Thoughts

Marketing is not predictable or linear. It never was.

It’s complex and messy.

Why? Because people are complex, irrational, and messy.

The power of marketing lies in its ability to compound over time, multiply sales, and shape the likelihood of revenue.

If you like this content, here are some more ways I can help:

  • Follow me on LinkedIn for bite-sized tips and freebies throughout the week.
  • Work with me. Schedule a call to see if we’re a fit. No obligation. No pressure.
  • Subscribe for ongoing insights and strategies (enter your email below).

Cheers!

This article is AC-A and published on LinkedIn. Join the conversation!

Insight

The Elephant in the Boardroom: We Don’t Buy the Way We Sell

B2B buyers don’t follow funnels, yet marketers still build them. Here’s why MQLs fail, how buyers really buy, and what CEOs, CFOs, and CMOs must fix.
September 17, 2025
|
5 min read

B2B marketing and sales systems have been built around funnels, gated content, and MQLs. Yet that’s not how marketers or salespeople buy themselves. Research from Gartner, The CMO Survey, 6sense, and TrustRadius shows that buyers constantly move in and out of non-linear journeys. Most prefer self-serve information and make decisions based on brand familiarity. To fix the disconnect, B2B leaders need to rebalance short-term lead gen with long-term brand building, align metrics to real buying signals, and simplify the path to purchase... just like how they would buy!

Takeaways

  • Marketing has drifted from the 4Ps: Only 25.8% of marketers influence pricing and 7.2% distribution, leaving “Promotion” as the default focus.
  • MQLs don’t reflect reality: Forrester and experts like Kerry Cunningham highlight why lead gen masquerading as demand gen is misleading.
  • B2B buying has NEVER been linear: Gartner finds buyers loop across jobs, involve 6–10 stakeholders, and complete most research before sales contact.
  • Buyers want self-serve: TrustRadius reports that lack of pricing transparency is a top frustration, and shortlists are shrinking to familiar brands.
  • Brand matters more than ever: Binet & Field’s research and LinkedIn’s 95-5 rule show that long-term growth comes from brand memory, not form fills.

The B2B Sell-Buy Disconnect

Marketers don’t buy the way they market.

Salespeople don’t buy the way they sell.

And yet this is the system they keep building. Funnels. Gates. Attribution reports. MQL handoffs.

If we wouldn’t buy this way ourselves, why do we expect our customers to?

Executives in a boardroom with an elephant in the room symbolizing ignored B2B marketing problems.

How B2B Marketing Lost Its way

For the past 15-20 years, B2B Marketing has drifted from strategy to tactics.

The 4Ps still exist, but most teams only control one of them: Promotion.

Pricing lives with Finance. Place lives with Ops. Product lives with Product.

According to MarketingWeek, just over a quarter of marketers (25.8%) influence pricing, and only 7.2% play a role in distribution.

That vacuum gave SaaS a chance to redefine marketing as lead generation. “Demand gen” became another name for filling forms. Forrester and 6sense's Kerry Cunningham have both argued that MQLs don’t reflect how people actually buy.

The Transactional Trap

Funnels and attribution models look pretty on a dashboard. But buyers don’t move in straight lines.

Research from Gartner shows the B2B journey is non-linear (hasn’t it always been?!?). Buyers have always looped, revisited, and often repeated steps out of order over weeks, months, and even years before creating their Day 1 list.

And in complex B2B deals, 77% of buyers say their latest purchase was “very complex or difficult”, with 6–10 decision makers involved and most research done before speaking to sales (AdvertisingWeek).

So while GTM teams celebrate form fills, most real buying happens elsewhere.

The Cost of Misalignment

For CEOs: Wasted spend. Growth slows when funnels don’t reflect reality.

For CFOs: Inefficiency. Chasing MQLs inflates CAC and distorts ROI.

For CMOs: Frustration. Defending metrics everyone knows don’t map to revenue.

A Better Path (End of MQLs continuation)

There is a way forward.

Brand + Buying Signals + Sales Alignment = Better Buying Experience

  • Rebalance brand and activation. Les Binet and Peter Field’s research shows long-term growth comes from balancing brand building with sales activation (often cited as a 60:40 split, though the ratio varies by category).
  • Meet buyers where they are. LinkedIn’s B2B Institute has popularized the “95-5 rule”: only 5% of buyers are in market today, which means your brand has to stick in memory until the 95% come back into market.
  • Align to real signals. Forget MQL theatre. Track signals of buying intent (behavioral, contextual, and causal) over vanity metrics.

The good news is many seasoned B2B Marketing leaders are calling out the elephant and getting back to basics.

The mood is changing.

For more, dive deeper with the End Of MQLs series.

Final Thoughts

in a nutshell, Marketers don’t buy the way they market. Salespeople don’t buy the way they sell.

And just like the buyers they are marketing and selling to, they never have either!

It’s time to stop forcing buyers through systems we wouldn’t tolerate ourselves.

The best time to reset was yesterday.

The second-best time is now.

If you like this content, here are some more ways I can help:

  • Follow me on LinkedIn for bite-sized tips and freebies throughout the week.
  • Work with me. Schedule a call to see if we’re a fit. No obligation. No pressure.
  • Subscribe for ongoing insights and strategies (enter your email below).

Cheers!

This article is AC-A and published on LinkedIn. Join the conversation!

Strategy

AI Adoption Barriers: How Leaders Can Drive Success

AI adoption fails without leadership. Learn how clear policies, pilots, and visible sponsorship remove barriers and accelerate organizational adoption.
August 19, 2025
|
5 min read

By Gerard Pietrykiewicz and Achim Klor

Achim is a fractional CMO who helps B2B GTM teams with brand-building and AI adoption. Gerard is a seasoned project manager and executive coach helping teams deliver software that actually works.

AI adoption gets stalled by leadership gaps: confusing policies, employee fear, and leaders who say “go” but don’t show how. If this feels a bit like Groundhog Day, you’re not alone. We’ve seen similar adoption challenges with desktop publishing, the Internet and World Wide Web, and blockchain. The technology is ready, but organizations stumble on the people side. This article looks at what leaders can do right now to remove those barriers and make adoption a little less stressful.

Takeaways

  • Simplify policies. If your AI rules are complex, no one will use them.
  • Start small pilots. Let early adopters show tangible wins for their peers.
  • Lead visibly. If leaders don’t use the tools, teams won’t either.
  • Tell the story outside. Package internal AI wins into external proof points.

Jim Collins, in How The Mighty Fall, describes how once-great companies decline: hubris born of success, denial of risk, and grasping for silver bullets instead of facing reality. AI adoption sits at a similar crossroads. Companies that wait and assume their past success buys them time risk sliding down a similar path.

Monday Morning Standup Plan (30 minutes)

Reset (5 min): 

  • Why we’re doing this. Safe guardrails, speed to act.

Decisions today (10 min):

  • Name one exec sponsor, one legal contact, and one AI champion per team.
  • Pick two pilot workflows per team for this month.

Guardrails (10 min):

  • Draft a v0.1 “Allowed / Restricted / Ask Legal” one-pager this week (use NIST AI RMF as a frame).

Metrics (5 min):

  • By Friday: pilots chosen, owners named, draft policy ready.
  • Next week: % of teams with a named exec sponsor and AI champion.

Barrier 1: Complex Policies

Employees avoid tools they don’t understand. If your AI usage rules look like a legal brief, adoption will stall. It's hard for any company to have a policy loose enough to allow for easy adoption and experimentation, yet restrictive enough to prevent critical data leakage.

Large corporations often have the budget, legal teams, and even their own data centers to set up AI policies and infrastructure. That gives them speed at scale. 

Smaller companies are technically more nimble, but without sufficient resources, they often default to over-restriction, sometimes banning AI entirely out of fear of risk. That means lost productivity and missed learning opportunities.

Opportunity: Make policies visual, clear, and quick to navigate. The goal isn’t control. It’s confidence. Guidance like the NIST AI Risk Management Framework shows how clarity enables trustworthy, scalable use (NIST). 

Barrier 2: Fear 

Employees fear what they don’t understand. And one-size-fits-all training doesn’t help.

When people see AI applied to their specific role (automating a report, simplifying customer emails), that fear turns into enthusiasm.

Pilot programs work. Early adopters can demonstrate real use cases, and their wins spread fast inside the org.

Opportunity: Treat those early adopters as internal champions. Prosci’s research shows “change agents” accelerate adoption (Prosci). Then turn those wins into short internal stories and customer-facing examples. That’s how adoption builds brand credibility, not just productivity.

Barrier 3: Leadership Hesitation

When executives hesitate, teams hesitate. The reverse is also true: when leaders use AI themselves, adoption accelerates.

Research on organizational change is clear: active, visible sponsorship is a top success factor (Prosci). It signals that experimentation is safe and expected.

And there’s an external benefit too. Leaders who show their own AI use give customers and partners confidence. It’s a market signal.

Opportunity: Leaders can’t delegate this. They need to be participants, not just sponsors.

Final Thoughts

To make AI adoption successful, leaders must create an environment where experimentation feels safe and useful.

The parallels to earlier waves of tech adoption are uncanny: the ones who figured this out first didn’t just get more efficient. They were remembered as the ones who defined the category because they were more effective adopting the tech.

The risk of waiting isn’t just lost productivity. It’s losing the perception battle before you even start. Credible stories and visible leadership shape buying decisions and long-term trust (Edelman–LinkedIn).

Leaders: simplify, experiment, participate, and share your wins. Your teams and your customers will thank you.

Sources

If you like this co-authored content, here are some more ways we can help:

Cheers!

This article is AC-A and published on LinkedIn. Join the conversation!

Insight

What the 80/20 Rule Taught Me About B2B GTM Strategy

I tried the 80/20 prompt on B2B GTM and uncovered real insights. Here’s what top teams do differently, and why most still struggle to prove what works.
August 5, 2025
|
5 min read

I read an interesting article on TechRadar by John-Anthony Disotto. He used the 80/20 rule to create a prompt that “makes learning skills incredibly easy.” It’s not mathematically deep or overly technical. So for fun, I gave it a go using B2B GTM. It worked, but not the way I expected.

Takeaways

  • The real GTM split is 60/25/15, not 80/20 or 60/40
  • Most teams know what to do, but don’t do it consistently
  • AI, brand, and content only work when integrated
  • Top teams measure what matters, not what’s easy
  • GTM success is about behavior, not tools

A Simple Prompt

The prompt is dead simple:

“Give me the 80/20 of X.”

Want to learn how to kickflip, cook sugo, or serve a tennis ball? Ask your favorite GenAI tool for the 80/20 and it will spit back a decent analysis based on Pareto’s famous principle

That said, as with all “absolutes”, take it with a grain of salt and pull out the nuggets you need. 

But it got me thinking: 

Could this actually work for something as messy and misunderstood as B2B tech GTM? 

I gave it a shot.

ChatGPT’s First Take

I first asked ChatGPT this prompt:

“What’s the 80/20 of B2B tech GTM in 2025?”

The answer came back fast using typical AI phrasing. 

80% of teams are stuck in the past:

  • Chasing MQLs, form fills, and attribution hacks
  • Reporting vanity metrics that don’t tie to revenue
  • Confusing activity with progress
  • Marketing is still seen as a support function, not a multiplier
  • Sales, Marketing, and Product all run separate playbooks
  • The CFO doesn’t trust GTM data—and for good reason

20% are evolving:

  • They’re shifting from funnels to buying signals
  • Treating brand as a reputation asset, not a logo
  • Aligning around buyer context, not lead scoring
  • Using Causal AI to explain what actually drives revenue
  • Marketing drives strategy, not just campaigns
  • GTM is one integrated motion: Brand > Demand > Revenue

The gist wasn’t wrong, but a few things were headscratchers, like “Using Causal AI” and “Marketing drives strategy.”

It sounded too binary. Too neat.

Fact-Checking the AI

So I then asked ChatGPT:

“Rigorously fact-check your 80/20 assessment for accuracy and credibility.”

The revised output was a bit more grounded.

20% of teams are winning because they:

  • Use AI tools to scale personalization and content workflows, not just auto-generate flimsy copy
  • Build brand traction via thought leadership, distinct voice, and clear measurement—even imperfect
  • Own SEO shift: optimize for AI-driven search discovery, not just keywords
  • Serve self-directed, digital-first buyers by being top-of-mind before sales ever starts
  • Stay lean, automate smartly, and avoid manual bloat

80% are plateaued by:

  • Under-invest in brand awareness and measurement—half don't track brand at all
  • Relied mostly on outdated content models or inconsistent execution
  • Can’t prove brand impact, so they funnel more budget into performance channels only
  • Lack strategic tool adoption—AI used for surface-level drafts, not integrated into workflows

OK, better. But I still wasn’t convinced.

The Peer Review

Still sceptical, I sent the same prompt to Claude.

Claude came back with a softer read. It said it’s more like a 60/40 split. Most teams are adapting, but slowly and inconsistently.

Claude made some good points:

  • Just because companies use AI doesn’t mean they’ve integrated it.
  • Most aren’t ignoring brand, they just don’t measure it well.
  • The gap between winners and laggards is real, but not as extreme as 80/20

I went back and forth with Claude and ChatGPT. Both made valid calls and pointed out where they aligned and where they differed. 

ChatGPT pushed back on Claude’s assessment:

“Claude’s response is solid—and mostly accurate. But Claude’s framing underplays the issues.”

After more back-and-forth, we landed somewhere in the middle.

The Real Split

60/25/15 is a more accurate split.

Side-by-side pie charts comparing three B2B GTM models: ChatGPT’s 80/20 split (80% stuck, 20% evolving), Claude’s 60/40 split (60% adapting, 40% ahead or behind), and the agreed 60/25/15 real-world split (60% in no man’s land, 25% doing the work, 15% behind).

60% are stuck in no man’s land:

  • Using ChatGPT for email drafts but still manually scoring leads and building reports in spreadsheets
  • Publishing weekly blogs and case studies but can’t trace which content actually drives pipeline
  • Talking about “self-directed buyers” in meetings but still gating everything and cold-calling from purchased lists

25% of B2B teams are doing the work:

  • AI triggers follow-up sequences based on engagement patterns and generates persona-specific outbound variants
  • They track “How did you hear about us?” in CRM and can show which content correlates with deal velocity
  • Marketing sits in Sales deal reviews; Sales inputs on content calendar; CS shares churn signals with both

15% are way behind:

  • Gating basic industry reports, counting form fills as qualified leads while conversion rates stay flat
  • Brand discussions focus on font choices and logo placement with zero budget for thought leadership
  • Weekly reports highlight email open rates and social impressions while Sales complains about lead quality

Which one sounds like your Monday morning standup?

If you’re in the 60%, pick one:

  • AI Integration: Replace one manual weekly task with an AI workflow this month
  • Brand Reputation: Add three questions to your CRM intake form that connect brand touchpoints to pipeline
  • GTM Alignment: Have Marketing sit in on Sales deal reviews, have Sales input on content calendar

What Actually Separates the Winners

Every modern B2B GTM team should be asking:

  • Can we point to three manual tasks AI eliminated this quarter, or are we just using it to write blog posts faster?
  • Does our brand help buyers remember us when they’re ready or just impress peers on launch day?
  • Do we know what signals indicate buying intent, or are we still confusing clicks for interest?
  • If I asked Sales, Marketing, Product, and CS separately to map our buyer journey, would I get the same answer?

AI, brand, content, buyer insight—none of it works in isolation.

What separates the top 25% isn’t access. It’s consistency. They’ve operationalized what the rest are still experimenting with.

Final Thoughts

The “80/20” prompt worked, but not how I expected.

It won’t give you a perfect framework. That’s OK. It doesn’t need to be perfect.

A yardstick that validates what you already know and uncovers some new truths is more than good enough. Whether the actual number is 65.7% instead of 60% doesn’t really matter.

The point is, most GTM teams in 2025 know what to do. They’re just not doing it strategically or consistently. And they’re not proving it works.

That’s the gap.

The teams pulling ahead aren’t chasing leads or trends. They’re going back to the basics, putting insight and strategy ahead of tactics. And they’re doing it better, faster, and with accountability.

They treat brand as a signal, not decoration. AI as infrastructure, not novelty. GTM as shared responsibility, not departmental silos.

And they measure what matters, not what’s easy.

They do the hard part first.

Where does your GTM sit?

If you like this content, here are some more ways I can help:

  • Follow me on LinkedIn for bite-sized tips and freebies throughout the week.
  • Work with me. Schedule a call to see if we’re a fit. No obligation. No pressure.
  • Subscribe for ongoing insights and strategies (enter your email below).

Cheers!

This article is AC-A and published on LinkedIn. Join the conversation!

Sources

Primary Article Referenced:

  • Disotto, John-Anthony. “I tried this simple ChatGPT prompt that makes learning skills incredibly easy.” TechRadar.

Research Sources:

  • “The State of AI in B2B Marketing.” ON24.
  • “The State of B2B SaaS Brand Marketing.” Wynter.
  • “What’s working right now: B2B marketing trends and tactics in 2025.” Wynter.
  • “B2B Buying Behavior in 2025: 40 Stats and Five Hard Truths That Sales Can’t Ignore.” Corporate Visions.
  • “Why millennials continue to reshape B2B ecommerce.” Digital Commerce 360.
  • “In 2025, B2B Sales Has Changed—Have You?” 180 Operations.
Execution

Causal CMO #6: How to Run a Skunkworks GTM Project (Quietly)

CMOs use quiet pilots and causal AI to prove GTM impact and drive deal velocity before selling the story internally. Here’s how to execute one effectively.
July 29, 2025
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5 min read

CMOs can make a big difference with CausalAI. It starts with what Mark Stouse calls a “quiet pilot.” Not a pitch. Not a deck. In Part 6 of The Causal CMO, Mark explains how GTM leaders can run skunkworks projects in the background without wasting months seeking buy-in or permission by using causal modeling. We used “deal velocity” as our project, but you can apply it to any core outcome: CAC, LTV, funnel integrity, partner yield, brand equity, even recruiting.

Takeaways

  • A quiet pilot isn’t sneaky, it’s smart
  • Causal pilots model outcomes, actions, and externalities
  • Most GTM teams are drowning in noise, not signal
  • The grief curve is real (and necessary)
  • Done right, you won’t need to sell it because others will eventually ask

Skunkworks Projects Are Not Sketchy 

As we touched on in Part 4 and Part 5, the goal of a “quiet pilot” is meant to protect signal integrity. It’s not about secrecy. 

If you announce you’re piloting CausalAI before you’ve proven anything, internal pressure will spike. Opinions will fly. Fear will kick in. And you’ll waste all your energy managing reactions instead of learning. 

“There’s nothing unethical about doing a quiet pilot. In fact, it’s probably the most ethical way to test something that matters.”

You want to reduce friction, not accountability. To observe, adjust, and verify results before you invite others in.

What You Actually Need to Model

Causal modeling isn’t magic. It’s just math applied to three distinct domains:

  1. Outcomes: Revenue, margin, cash flow, deal flow, LTV
  2. Internal levers: Marketing, Sales, Product, CS activities
  3. Externalities: Market forces, buyer psychology, macro risk

Most teams obsess over 1 and 2. But externalities drive 70–80% of performance. You’re not here to brute-force your way through them. You’re here to surf them.

“You can have the best mix in the world and still fail—if you ignore externalities.”

The Case: Deal Velocity Under Pressure

We used a B2B SaaS scenario:

  • CAC is stable. 
  • Cash flow is tight. 
  • The board’s impatient. 
  • The CMO needs to increase deal velocity, and fast.

Here’s how Mark broke it down:

  • CAC is a form of debt. If deals slip, you can’t pay it off.
  • Deal slippage usually signals buyer fear, not GTM failure.
  • Buyers need decision insurance to move forward. 
  • Without decision insurance, they delay and that delay kills cash flow.

Mark’s personal experience at Honeywell Aerospace demonstrates the effectiveness of running a quiet pilot:

“We improved deal velocity by almost 5%. That’s $11–12 billion of revenue moving faster into the company. The cash flow impact was extraordinary. The CFO became a fan.”

How to Run the Pilot

You don’t need perfection to start. You need clarity.

Step 1: Pick a business-critical outcome

Start with a question like this one:

“Out of everything we’re doing, what’s really driving deal velocity?”

Step 2: Model the 3 domains

  • Outcomes and internal levers will require your data (clean or messy, it doesn’t matter).
  • Externalities (macro, industry, buyer conditions) can be pulled from public sources like the SEC, Fed, or academic datasets.
  • Use synthetic data to simulate missing patterns. If your internal data is sparse, GenAI tools can generate approximations to bridge gaps and help simulate realistic data patterns.

“Even synthetic models become templates for real ones later.”

Step 3: Let the system run

Watch the forecast. Compare it to actuals. Adjust your mix. Then track again.

You’ll feel the change before you explain it. So will others.

“People will pass you in the hallway and say, ‘Something feels different.’ That’s your moment.”

What to Expect Emotionally

You’re going to get humbled. So be prepared.

“You’ll realize most of what you’ve been tracking is noise. You’ll grieve. You’ll deny. You’ll get angry. Then you’ll change.”

It’s normal to go through disbelief, regret, frustration and even grief as you uncover how much of your GTM effort was based on correlation or gut feel.

But that’s the cost of clarity.

And the reward?

A system that actually tells you what’s working and how to make it better.

When to Go Public

Not too soon. Let the model mature.

Here’s a rough timeline:

  • Month 0: Quiet start. Build models. Simulate where needed.
  • Month 3: Adjust the GTM mix based on signals.
  • Month 6: Teams feel the shift, even if they don’t know why.
  • Month 9–12: Go public. Brief the CFO and CEO. Build the case.

That’s when you gain credibility and the CEO and CFO lean in. 

That’s when the board invites you to present. 

That’s when peers start asking:

“If I gave you more budget, what could you do with it?”

Your story isn’t based on aspiration. It’s built on change.

This Isn’t Just for Marketing

Mark was very clear about the cross-functional application of CausalAI. 

You can apply causal models across the entire business:

  • HR: Recruiting, retention, employer brand
  • IR: Investor onboarding, perception shift
  • Product: Roadmap clarity, user friction reduction

If your team owns outcomes, causal modeling can help you prove what drives them, even outside GTM.

Final Thought

If you’re a CMO, CRO, or GTM lead hoping to “earn your seat at the table,” this is how you do it. Not with big claims or flashy decks. With evidence.

“This isn’t a threat. It’s a lifeboat. Everything else is the risk.”

You don’t need better math. You need better questions and the courage to ask them before you sell the answer.

Give it a go

  • Start with one question.
  • Model what matters.
  • Don’t sell the vision. Build it quietly.
  • Then let the results speak.

If you want to see what this looks like in practice, Mark has demo videos and 1:1 sessions available. Reach out to him directly on LinkedIn or email him at mark.stouse@proofanalytics.ai 

Missed the LinkedIn Live session? Rewatch Part 6.

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Cheers!

This article is AC-A and published on LinkedIn. Join the conversation!